The Problem With
As traders and bettors
we must continually strive for new and
innovative horse racing and the Betting
Exchange systems to keep us ahead of the
The fluidity of the
The Betting Exchange ecosystem means
that you must never stop your search for
new methods and different angles to
profit from racing and the betting
The learning curve is,
and will remain constant into the
When I first start
talking to punters and colleagues about
the features of speed pars, I am often
met with confused looks or even bemused
When I start talking
about the potential benefits of using
speed pars suddenly a lot of interest is
The problem has always
been it seems, the amount of time they
take to prepare in order to provide any
meaningful or more importantly,
I had been searching
for a method that can be worked in the
10 minutes before a race but my research
The average punter is
simply not willing to spend several
hours a day on form study and working
complex arithmetic in order to come up
with the same horse that all the
tipsters identified 12 hours earlier.
The Search For
What we really need as
punters are methods that will regularly
throw up horses that are "contrary" to
the "talking" horses, and this is what
speed pars are best at.
"contrary" selections speed pars can be
used to generate profitable longer odds
winners as compared to blindly backing
What I have developed
is a simple speed ratings system for use
as a field reduction mechanism or even a
pure back to win mechanism should you
have the stomach for that style of
The simplicity of the
system is partly due to the fact that it
uses freely available online data. The
results have to date been excellent.
Should you make your
own speed ratings, or can you rely on
others and online resources?
In an ideal world you
would all make your own speed ratings,
this would give you the edge you need to
separate yourself from other punters.
But, as with anything that's worthwhile
in life, this takes time and commitment
and life itself has a tendency to get in
the way of such ventures.
Also, we all need
quick and convincing evidence that a
system is usable and productive.
What you really want
to know is - does it make money? As
punters this is the crucial evidence you
need in advance of committing enormous
resource to developing it for your own
To get started with
speed ratings you can use several free
web sites on the Internet. The reason
you can now start to develop speed
rating systems is because the really
hard work of creating them and
publishing them has already been done by
However you still need to be aiming for
true independence from the crowd.
What happens if the
ratings you are using which were
designed by someone else simply stop
- What are
your options for tweaking and
modifying ratings if you don't
understand how they were created?
changes can you make to someone else's
system that you don't understand?
improvements can you make to a system
that you didn't create in the first
If you are a follower of my work you
will know that a "contrary" approach to
selecting winners is where the "value"
bets can be found.
Only here can be found
the true path to profitable betting.
Other accurate sources
of speed rating information can be found
at Timeform Perspective which is the
ultimate in analysis of racing data, but
is a subscription service aimed at
is also extremely useful for speed
ratings, but is again a subscription
The fact is that
simply betting on the horse with the
fastest average speed is just like
betting on the favourites in every race
- while it produces a lot of winners, it
does not produce a profit.
This is because the
average speed is not enough!
In the rest of this
series I examine -
of speed ratings.
makes them so effective for UK All
- How to
find and use freely available online
- The 3
major factors that can be calculated
from the freely available speed rating
- The minor
factors that should be added into the
system to create a profitable speed
rated system for UK All Weather
- The rules
of my profitable All Weather speed
for using the results of the speed
system and finally pinpointing